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You hand in your notice on a Tuesday. By Thursday your manager has pulled you into a room, mentioned a number 15% higher than what you make now, and asked you to "just think about it over the weekend." Suddenly the decision you thought you'd already made isn't made at all.
A counter offer from your current employer is not a compliment, even though it feels like one. It's a business response to a resignation, made under time pressure, by the same company whose conditions made you start looking in the first place. Here's a step-by-step way to work through it before you give an answer.
Step 1: Don't answer in the room
Whatever number they say, don't accept or decline on the spot. Say you need until tomorrow, or over the weekend if they've given you that long. A counter offer is designed to be answered emotionally, in the moment, while you're still flattered that someone scrambled to keep you. Twenty-four hours of distance is enough to notice whether the offer actually solves your problem or just delays it.
Step 2: Ask yourself why they waited until now

If a 15% raise or a promotion was possible, it was possible last month too — nobody found a spare budget line overnight. The honest answer is usually that replacing you costs more, right now, than paying you more. That's a real business calculation, and there's nothing wrong with it. But it also means the raise reflects the cost of losing you this week, not a considered view of your value going forward. Once the immediate risk passes, that urgency doesn't carry over into your next review.
Step 3: Get the counter offer in writing before it changes anything
Verbal promises in the heat of a resignation conversation have a way of softening once you've withdrawn your notice. If you're seriously weighing it, ask for the new salary, title, or role changes confirmed in writing — an email is enough. If the counter offer isn't worth putting in writing, it isn't worth changing your plans for.
Step 4: Look past the counter offer statistics you'll hear
You'll probably hear some version of "80% of people who take a counter offer are gone within a year anyway." That specific figure gets repeated constantly in recruiting circles, but it doesn't trace back to any documented study — one detailed breakdown of the claim found no primary source behind it at all. A more specific number comes from recruiter Jan Tegze, who cites 48% of employees who accept a counter offer leaving within a year — still an industry observation rather than peer-reviewed research, but a more honest one to work with. Treat any number here as a signal that staying after a counter offer often doesn't stick, not as a guarantee of what will happen to you specifically.
Step 5: Separate the pros and cons on paper
Write two short columns instead of running the debate in your head.
Pros of staying:
- No disruption to income, team, or routine while you weigh things
- You skip the ramp-up period a new job always requires
- If pay truly was the only issue, it's now resolved
Cons of staying:
- Your manager now knows you were ready to leave, and that changes how future conversations go
- The reasons you started looking — a manager, a ceiling, a direction you didn't believe in — are still there
- You've already told a new company and possibly a recruiter that you were leaving; walking that back has its own cost
- The new offer you have (or were pursuing) doesn't wait around indefinitely
If the cons column is mostly about people and direction rather than money, a raise won't move it.
Step 6: Ask why you were really looking
This is the question that matters more than any number in the counter offer. If your job search while employed started as a discreet, careful process — something we've written about separately in the mistake that blows a job search while employed — you started it for a reason. Pay is one possible reason. But so is a manager you've stopped trusting, work that no longer challenges you, or a company whose direction you don't want to be part of in two years. A counter offer only answers the first of those.
Step 7: If you're staying because your CV isn't ready, fix that instead
Here's the version of this decision nobody says out loud: sometimes people accept a counter offer not because the offer is genuinely better, but because the other option — actually finishing the move — feels harder than it should. The CV feels unfinished, the interview process ahead feels uncertain, and staying put is simply the path of least resistance today.
That's a real reason, but it's not a good one to build a career decision on. If your CV is the thing making "leave" feel harder than "stay," that's a fixable, one-sided problem — not a reason to talk yourself back into a job you'd already decided to leave. And if negotiating with a new employer is the part that feels unfamiliar, that's a different conversation from this one — we cover it in how to negotiate a job offer vs. naming a number early.
Before you let a counter offer talk you out of a decision you already made, get an honest read on whether your CV was ever the obstacle. Kaeros's free CV review is done by a real person, takes no account and no payment, and tells you plainly what's working and what isn't — so if you decide to still leave, the CV won't be the reason you hesitate again.

